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May 5, 2026 · This tool predicts how many strikeouts a starting pitcher will record against a given opponent in an upcoming game. …

Jun 13, 2026 · Two metrics form the backbone of my K prop analysis. Swinging strike rate – the percentage of pitches that result in a …

SwStr% outperforms K/9 and ERA as a strikeout predictor. Learn the thresholds, how to find the data, and how to use whiff rate in …

Aug 10, 2026 · SwStr% (swinging-strike rate), the share of a pitcher's total pitches that hitters swing at and miss, is a leading …

Our XGBoost K model uses 46 features. Here's what actually drives strikeout totals — from opposing lineup K-rate to swinging strike …

Forecasts pitcher strikeout rate (K/9) for the remainder of the 2026 MLB season from Statcast pitch-level data, using a regularized …

MLB strikeout rates have surged 67% since 2000 (K/9 rising from 5.15 to above 8.6), creating wider inefficiencies in K-prop markets …

MLB pitcher strikeout distributions and projections — full probability structure, not just a point estimate.

Apr 16, 2026 · Whiff percentage — swings that miss divided by total swings — is the most stable, most predictive input for future K …

Feb 5, 2026 · Learn advanced pitching stats for MLB prop betting. K rate, BB rate, swinging strike rate, and xFIP explained for …