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- Reserve analysis is a technique used in project management to determine the amount of contingency reserve needed to compensate for risks1. For example, if a risk has a 60% probability of occurring and a cost impact of $10,000, the expected monetary value (EMV) for this risk event is $6,000. The total contingency reserve for the project is the sum of the EMV for each risk1. Reserve analysis can also be used in insurance to determine the annual claim reserve adequacy2.Learn more:✕This summary was generated using AI based on multiple online sources. To view the original source information, use the "Learn more" links.For example, a risk has a 60 percent probability of occurring and a cost impact of $10,000. The EMV for this risk event is (0.6 * $10,000), or $6,000. To compensate for this risk, the contingency reserve needs $6,000. Totalling the EMV for each risk results in the total contingency reserve for the project.www.pmi.org/learning/library/model-risk-contingenc…The preceding example provides the insured a very basic approach in determining the annual claim reserve adequacy. Actuaries will apply different factors to the initial reserve ($1,950,000), to factor the probability of claim growth due to changes in treatment (as an example) and for inflation.riskandinsurance.com/getting-reserve-analysis-right/
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